Why Nobody Believes the Numbers: Distinguishing Fact from Fiction in Population Health Management Hardcover – June 26, 2012
Author: Visit Amazon's Al Lewis Page | Language: English | ISBN: 1118313186 | Format: PDF, EPUB
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Review
“It’s rare that a book about mathematics is funny. And this is not just any math: It’s population health analysis. This is the stuff that employers, benefit managers, CFOs and many others want to know: how to figure out if an intervention “worked” and reduced costs.”—Employee Benefit News
“Do yourself a favor and buy this book. And, keep it handy the next time you entertain a DM/wellness proposal or examine data submitted to you by your vendor. You will never read those proposals or reports the same way again”—Khanna on Health
“Digital Health Book of the Year”—Forbes
From the Back Cover
"This is a must-read for anyone involved in developing policy or making purchase decisions on programs that try to improve health and save money."
—Bob Galvin, Chief Executive Officer, Equity Healthcare (Blackstone Group); co-founder, Leapfrog Group; founder, Bridges to Excellence
"Lewis sugarcoats the bitter medicine of math with a generous amount of humor, making this the most painless lesson in outcomes analysis ever published. The lesson: trust your own judgment."
—Tom Scully, former Administrator, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services; Senior Counsel, Alston & Bird; Partner, Welsh, Carson, Anderson & Stowe
"Lewis has single-handedly created what industry committees have failed to create: a how-to guide for valid outcomes analysis."
—Warren Todd, former President and Executive Director, the Care Continuum Alliance
Make better health care decisions by understanding your own data
Behind every health plan and benefits department decision are the numbers that illuminate and drive the cost of coverage. An easy-to-follow guide to population health management, Why Nobody Believes the Numbers helps you interpret these numbers, explains why and how "experts" often make them up, and shows that you don't need to rely on expensive—and as the hilarious examples show, often numerically challenged—consultants and vendors to do evaluations. Why Nobody Believes the Numbers gives you the tools to:
- Figure out whether you are "moving the needle" or just crediting a program with changes that would have happened anyway
- Determine whether the ROIs your vendors report are plausible or even arithmetically possible (the majority aren't)
- Synthesize all these insights into RFPs and contracts that let vendors know that you weren't born yesterday
Books with free ebook downloads available Why Nobody Believes the Numbers: Distinguishing Fact from Fiction in Population Health Management Hardcover – June 26, 2012
- Hardcover: 240 pages
- Publisher: Wiley; 1 edition (June 26, 2012)
- Language: English
- ISBN-10: 1118313186
- ISBN-13: 978-1118313183
- Product Dimensions: 9.4 x 6.1 x 0.8 inches
- Shipping Weight: 14.4 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)
- Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #295,695 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- #73 in Books > Business & Money > Industries & Professions > Insurance > Health
Introduction xiii
Chapter 1 Actuaries Behaving Badly 1
Chapter 2 Plausibility Testing: How to Measure Outcomes Using Ingredients You Already Have in Your Kitchen 35
Chapter 3 Case Studies That Flunk Every Plausibility Test Known to Mankind 53
Chapter 4 Case Studies That Flunk Every Plausibility Test Known to Mankind and Then Some 73
Chapter 5 Case Studies of Where, When, and How Wellness Programs Have Actually Worked 125
Chapter 6 Yes, Virginia, There Is a Savings Clause 141
Chapter 7 Disease Management Programs That Actually Work (Pinch Me) 151
Chapter 8 Contracting/RFP Checklist of Do’s and Don’ts (Mostly Don’ts) 175
Appendix: The Keys to the Numerical Kingdom 193
Author’s Note on Sources 195
Notes 197
Glossary 201
About the Author 207
Bibliography and Further Reading 209
Acknowledgments 211
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